WSH
4–3
BUF
Final / OT · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 10-4-2
4–3
Final / OTW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 8-9-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WSH
1101121513430
BUF
2101110402327
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 10-4-2 · BUF 8-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Sabres
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Capitals erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Wilson's equalizer with 1:15 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Strome's goal. Devon Levi allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.1, on 30 and 27 shots on goal.
WSH 2.7 xG · 30 shots
BUF 3.1 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 1.3
3rd
0.5 · 0.3
OT
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 10:09 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Zach Benson · 1st 16:04 · 0–2 · between legs shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alexander Alexeyev · 1st 17:01 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 07:50 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 16:18 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Tom Wilson · 3rd 18:45 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Dylan Strome · OT 04:52 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 43.
WSH 43%BUF 57%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
JJ Peterka · 1st 10:09 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Zach Benson · 1st 16:04 · 0–2
Between legs shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Alexander Alexeyev · 1st 17:01 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
T.J. Oshie · 2nd 07:50 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 16:18 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Tom Wilson · 3rd 18:45 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Dylan Strome · OT 04:52 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
