Washington Capitals
WSH · 16-9-4
3–2
Final / OTW
New York Islanders
NYI · 15-8-9
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WSH
1141120812336
NYI
071911600232
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
WSH 16-9-4 · NYI 15-8-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
Capitals beat the Islanders
The Capitals earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, and they won it in overtime on Strome's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 36 and 32 shots on goal.
WSH 3.8 xG · 36 shots
NYI 2.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
OT
0.6 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Hendrix Lapierre · 1st 09:56 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
· 2nd 01:03 · 1–1 · wrap around shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Joel Edmundson · 2nd 13:12 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 12:02 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Dylan Strome · OT 01:41 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 74.
WSH 74%NYI 26%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Hendrix Lapierre · 1st 09:56 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2
· 2nd 01:03 · 1–1
Wrap around shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Joel Edmundson · 2nd 13:12 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Anders Lee · 3rd 12:02 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Dylan Strome · OT 01:41 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.