Washington Capitals
WSH · 17-11-6
2–3
Final / SOL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 20-16-1
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
WSH
11314010020229
NSH
211013010021336
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–2
WSH 17-11-6 · NSH 20-16-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–2
Capitals fell to the Predators
The Capitals were outchanced (4.0 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost it in a shootout. Hunter Shepard stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.4, on 36 and 29 shots on goal.
WSH 2.4 xG · 29 shots
NSH 4.0 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.5
3rd
0.6 · 1.2
OT
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Luke Evangelista · 1st 02:44 · 0–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
2
Roman Josi · 1st 06:55 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 10:25 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 14:59 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 26.
WSH 26%NSH 74%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Luke Evangelista · 1st 02:44 · 0–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
2
Roman Josi · 1st 06:55 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 10:25 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
4
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 14:59 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Predators
Goaltending
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.