Washington Capitals
WSH · 23-21-8
3–6
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 33-17-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
2120619327
COL
210212215637
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–2
WSH 23-21-8 · COL 33-17-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–2
Capitals fell to the Avalanche
The Capitals created the better chances (3.4 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost 3–6. Charlie Lindgren allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 27 and 37 shots on goal.
WSH 3.4 xG · 27 shots
COL 2.6 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd
1.1 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ross Colton · 1st 02:46 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Devon Toews · 1st 04:57 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 09:16 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
4
Connor McMichael · 1st 10:00 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 08:50 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 17:03 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 09:00 · 3–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 19:01 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Miles Wood · 3rd 19:27 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 63.
WSH 63%COL 37%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ross Colton · 1st 02:46 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Devon Toews · 1st 04:57 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 09:16 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
4
Connor McMichael · 1st 10:00 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 08:50 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 17:03 · PP · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 09:00 · PP · 3–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 19:01 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Miles Wood · 3rd 19:27 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.