Washington Capitals
WSH · 25-21-8
6–2
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 28-23-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
1817411626
NJD
110017112239
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 3–1
WSH 25-21-8 · NJD 28-23-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 3–1
Capitals beat the Devils
Chances were even (3.9 to 3.5 expected goals); the Capitals won 6–2. Nico Daws allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.9 expected goals to 3.5, on 26 and 39 shots on goal.
WSH 3.9 xG · 26 shots
NJD 3.5 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.4
2nd
0.3 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
2.6 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McMichael · 1st 00:39 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
2
Alexander Holtz · 1st 15:06 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Connor McMichael · 2nd 04:17 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Strome · 3rd 04:10 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (81%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 08:44 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Michael Sgarbossa · 3rd 12:27 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (40%)
7
Erik Haula · 3rd 15:34 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:27 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 56.
WSH 56%NJD 44%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McMichael · 1st 00:39 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
2
Alexander Holtz · 1st 15:06 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Connor McMichael · 2nd 04:17 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Dylan Strome · 3rd 04:10 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (81%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 08:44 · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Michael Sgarbossa · 3rd 12:27 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (40%)
7
Erik Haula · 3rd 15:34 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:27 · PP · 6–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/26 saves · 6 GA · 3.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.