WSH
4–2
TBL
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 38-31-11
4–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 44-28-8
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
29014211434
TBL
21309012234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
WSH 38-31-11 · TBL 44-28-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
Capitals beat the Lightning
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.1 expected goals); the Capitals won 4–2. Charlie Lindgren stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.1, on 34 and 34 shots on goal.
WSH 3.5 xG · 34 shots
TBL 3.1 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.5 · 1.1
3rd
1.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 09:56 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Anthony Duclair · 1st 13:06 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (23%)
3
· 1st 14:00 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 1st 16:24 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
John Carlson · 3rd 08:29 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 16:46 · 4–2 · slap shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 55.
WSH 55%TBL 45%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 09:56 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Anthony Duclair · 1st 13:06 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (23%)
3
· 1st 14:00 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 1st 16:24 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
John Carlson · 3rd 08:29 · PP · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 16:46 · 4–2
Slap shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
4
Steven Stamkos, Anthony Cirelli · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2–2
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
