WSH
3–5
NJD
Final · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 0-1-0
3–5
FinalL
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 3-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
11219111332
NJD
21221318533
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
WSH 0-1-0 · NJD 3-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
Capitals fell to the Devils
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.2 expected goals); the Capitals lost 3–5. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.2, on 32 and 33 shots on goal.
WSH 2.7 xG · 32 shots
NJD 3.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.4
2nd
1.4 · 1.5
3rd
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Carlson · 1st 10:48 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Seamus Casey · 1st 13:42 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Paul Cotter · 1st 16:24 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Dylan Strome · 2nd 00:32 · 2–2 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
5
Tomas Tatar · 2nd 03:56 · 2–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
6
Paul Cotter · 2nd 13:38 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Tom Wilson · 3rd 01:35 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 19:52 · 3–5 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 43.
WSH 43%NJD 57%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Carlson · 1st 10:48 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Seamus Casey · 1st 13:42 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Paul Cotter · 1st 16:24 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Dylan Strome · 2nd 00:32 · 2–2
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
5
Tomas Tatar · 2nd 03:56 · 2–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (52%)
6
Paul Cotter · 2nd 13:38 · GWG · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Tom Wilson · 3rd 01:35 · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 3–5
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
