WSH
3–2
DAL
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 2-1-0
3–2
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 4-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
0631208326
DAL
1717010224
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 2-1-0 · DAL 4-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Stars
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.6 expected goals); the Capitals won 3–2.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 26 and 24 shots on goal.
WSH 2.5 xG · 26 shots
DAL 2.6 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.4
2nd
1.4 · 1.3
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Colin Blackwell · 1st 12:19 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Tom Wilson · 2nd 00:55 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 06:15 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 13:09 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Taylor Raddysh · 2nd 17:19 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 50.
WSH 50%DAL 50%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Colin Blackwell · 1st 12:19 · SH · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Tom Wilson · 2nd 00:55 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 06:15 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jason Robertson · 2nd 13:09 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Taylor Raddysh · 2nd 17:19 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
2
Pierre-Luc Dubois, Connor McMichael · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
5
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
