Washington Capitals
WSH · 9-3-0
3–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 4-8-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
11811414336
NSH
111113011235
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 9-3-0 · NSH 4-8-1 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Predators
The Capitals earned it: 4.3 expected goals to 2.8, and a 3–2 win to show for it. Juuse Saros stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 4.3 expected goals to 2.8, on 36 and 35 shots on goal.
WSH 4.3 xG · 36 shots
NSH 2.8 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
2.2 · 0.5
2nd
1.6 · 1.3
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Juuso Parssinen · 1st 03:12 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Connor McMichael · 1st 04:26 · 1–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
3
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 15:03 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 15:34 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 10:25 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 71.
WSH 71%NSH 29%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Juuso Parssinen · 1st 03:12 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Connor McMichael · 1st 04:26 · 1–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
3
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 15:03 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
4
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 15:34 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 10:25 · GWG · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
4
Alexandre Carrier, Ryan O'Reilly · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 4.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.