WSH
3–4
TOR
Final / OT · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 10-4-1
3–4
Final / OTL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 10-6-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WSH
211160703327
TOR
150921713434
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
WSH 10-4-1 · TOR 10-6-2 · First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
Capitals fell to the Maple Leafs
The Capitals let a 3–1 lead get away: the Maple Leafs came back with three unanswered goals — Marner's equalizer with 0:48 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Tavares's goal. The Maple Leafs owned the 3rd period, 2.1 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.1, on 34 and 27 shots on goal.
WSH 3.1 xG · 27 shots
TOR 4.1 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.7
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 2.1
OT
0.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Taylor Raddysh · 1st 11:12 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Bobby McMann · 1st 12:11 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Dylan Strome · 1st 18:33 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (34%)
4
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 17:48 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
William Nylander · 3rd 15:51 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (62%)
6
Mitch Marner · 3rd 19:12 · 3–3 · slap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
John Tavares · OT 04:13 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 37.
WSH 37%TOR 63%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Taylor Raddysh · 1st 11:12 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Bobby McMann · 1st 12:11 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Dylan Strome · 1st 18:33 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (34%)
4
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 17:48 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
William Nylander · 3rd 15:51 · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (62%)
6
Mitch Marner · 3rd 19:12 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Slap shot, a great chance (27%)
7
John Tavares · OT 04:13 · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 4.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
