WSH
4–2
BUF
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 21-6-2
4–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 11-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
11211326431
BUF
1611005221
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 21-6-2 · BUF 11-15-4 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Sabres
The Capitals earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 2.1, and a 4–2 win to show for it. The Capitals scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.1, on 31 and 21 shots on goal.
WSH 3.0 xG · 31 shots
BUF 2.1 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
1.2 · 1.2
3rd
0.6 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 01:36 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Tom Wilson · 1st 17:09 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tom Wilson · 2nd 05:11 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jiri Kulich · 2nd 07:24 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 11:05 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Jakob Chychrun · 3rd 18:30 · 4–2 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 65.
WSH 65%BUF 35%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Zucker · 1st 01:36 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Tom Wilson · 1st 17:09 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Tom Wilson · 2nd 05:11 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jiri Kulich · 2nd 07:24 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Dylan Strome · 3rd 11:05 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Jakob Chychrun · 3rd 18:30 · EN · 4–2
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Jordan Greenway, Ryan McLeod · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
0–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
