Washington Capitals
WSH · 23-8-2
3–1
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 19-10-5
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
181716321
LAK
0719010126
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 23-8-2 · LAK 19-10-5 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Kings
Chances were even (1.7 to 1.8 expected goals); the Capitals won 3–1. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.7 expected goals to 1.8, on 21 and 26 shots on goal.
WSH 1.7 xG · 21 shots
LAK 1.8 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.2
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aliaksei Protas · 1st 10:20 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 04:10 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jakub Vrana · 2nd 14:18 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 19:06 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 48.
WSH 48%LAK 52%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aliaksei Protas · 1st 10:20 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 04:10 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jakub Vrana · 2nd 14:18 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 19:06 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/26 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.