WSH
3–4
MIN
Final / SO · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 25-10-3
3–4
Final / SOL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 24-11-4
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
WSH
11317110010331
MIN
21107114011433
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
WSH 25-10-3 · MIN 24-11-4 · First meeting this season — the Capitals trail the season series 0–1
Capitals fell to the Wild
The Capitals were outchanced (3.5 to 2.1 expected goals) and lost it in a shootout.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 33 and 31 shots on goal.
WSH 2.1 xG · 31 shots
MIN 3.5 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
0.3 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.7
OT
0.3 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 10:19 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Ryan Hartman · 1st 11:24 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Yakov Trenin · 1st 19:07 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 15:08 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Martin Fehérváry · 3rd 05:34 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Marco Rossi · 3rd 11:19 · 3–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 28.
WSH 28%MIN 72%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 10:19 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Ryan Hartman · 1st 11:24 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Yakov Trenin · 1st 19:07 · SH · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (25%)
4
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 15:08 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Martin Fehérváry · 3rd 05:34 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Marco Rossi · 3rd 11:19 · 3–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Wild
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
