Washington Capitals
WSH · 27-10-5
2–3
Final / OTL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 20-18-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WSH
16041700217
MTL
072130812330
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
WSH 27-10-5 · MTL 20-18-3 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
Capitals fell to the Canadiens
The Capitals were outchanced (4.6 to 2.2 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Suzuki's goal. Charlie Lindgren stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.2, on 30 and 17 shots on goal.
WSH 2.2 xG · 17 shots
MTL 4.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 2.2
3rd
0.6 · 0.9
OT
0.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 02:56 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Cole Caufield · 2nd 04:56 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Josh Anderson · 2nd 13:22 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (32%)
4
Lars Eller · 3rd 01:54 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Nick Suzuki · OT 01:15 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (56%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 18.
WSH 18%MTL 82%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 02:56 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Cole Caufield · 2nd 04:56 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Josh Anderson · 2nd 13:22 · SH · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (32%)
4
Lars Eller · 3rd 01:54 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Nick Suzuki · OT 01:15 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (56%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
9/9 saves · 0 GA · 1.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.