WSH
6–3
FLA
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 35-11-7
6–3
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 32-20-3
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
191948626
FLA
11316114333
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
WSH 35-11-7 · FLA 32-20-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
Capitals beat the Panthers
The Capitals were outchanced (3.5 to 2.1 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.1, on 33 and 26 shots on goal.
WSH 2.1 xG · 26 shots
FLA 3.5 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.3
2nd
1.1 · 0.5
3rd · the swing
0.6 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 14:08 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 19:30 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Tom Wilson · 2nd 01:15 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 04:14 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Lars Eller · 3rd 02:19 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 06:10 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 07:46 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 18:21 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:59 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 29.
WSH 29%FLA 71%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 14:08 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 19:30 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
3
Tom Wilson · 2nd 01:15 · SH · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Aleksander Barkov · 2nd 04:14 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Lars Eller · 3rd 02:19 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 06:10 · EXTRA ATTACKER · GWG · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 07:46 · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Aliaksei Protas · 3rd 18:21 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:59 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
4
Carter Verhaeghe, Sam Reinhart · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
