Washington Capitals
WSH · 38-12-8
1–3
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 28-21-8
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
05012110127
CGY
2140318325
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WSH 38-12-8 · CGY 28-21-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Capitals fell to the Flames
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.6 expected goals); the Capitals lost 1–3. Dan Vladar stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 27 and 25 shots on goal.
WSH 2.5 xG · 27 shots
CGY 2.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Pospisil · 1st 11:47 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Matt Coronato · 1st 16:42 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 04:52 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 15:32 · 1–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 47.
WSH 47%CGY 53%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Pospisil · 1st 11:47 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Matt Coronato · 1st 16:42 · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 04:52 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Huberdeau · 3rd 15:32 · 1–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.