WSH
2–5
STL
Final · L
Washington Capitals
WSH · 38-13-8
2–5
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 28-26-6
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
151805218
STL
282714519
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WSH 38-13-8 · STL 28-26-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Capitals fell to the Blues
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.4 expected goals); the Capitals lost 2–5. Charlie Lindgren allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.4, on 18 and 19 shots on goal.
WSH 2.2 xG · 18 shots
STL 2.4 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.4 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.3
3rd
0.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Philip Broberg · 1st 11:14 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 15:04 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Philip Broberg · 1st 17:45 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Connor McMichael · 2nd 16:55 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 17:23 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Colton Parayko · 2nd 17:58 · 2–4 · snap shot, a great chance (38%)
7
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 18:05 · 2–5 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 45.
WSH 45%STL 55%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Philip Broberg · 1st 11:14 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 15:04 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Philip Broberg · 1st 17:45 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Connor McMichael · 2nd 16:55 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dylan Holloway · 2nd 17:23 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Colton Parayko · 2nd 17:58 · 2–4
Snap shot, a great chance (38%)
7
Jake Neighbours · 3rd 18:05 · EN · 2–5
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
