WSH 1–3 TBL Final · L
Capitals/Schedule/Recap Sat, Mar 1, 2025 · 2024-25 regular season
Washington Capitals
WSH · 38-14-8
1–3
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 35-20-4
1ST2ND3RDT WSH 050818121 TBL 1100623319 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
WSH 38-14-8 · TBL 35-20-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2

Capitals fell to the Lightning

Chances were even (2.2 to 2.1 expected goals); the Capitals lost 1–3. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.1, on 21 and 19 shots on goal.

WSH 2.2 xG · 21 shots TBL 2.1 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
1st · the swing 0.6 · 1.4
2nd 0.8 · 0.5
3rd 0.8 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 52.
WSH 52%TBL 48%

Goals and penalties

4 goals · 0 penalties
← Capitals shoot this way Lightning shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
17:11 Mitchell Chaffee PP
Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
0–1
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
2
06:08 Gage Goncalves GWG
Nick Paul · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
0–2
3
16:01 Alex Ovechkin
Matt Roy · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
1–2
4
19:01 Brandon Hagel EN
Unassisted · snap shot, into an empty net
1–3
No penalties
Goaltending
+0.1
vs expected
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
+1.2
vs expected
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 2.2 xGA Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Team WSHTBL
Shots on goal
21
19
Expected goals
2.2
2.1
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Power play
0/0
1/0
Penalty minutes
0
0