WSH
5–4
OTT
Final / SO · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 39-14-8
5–4
Final / SOW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 30-25-5
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
WSH
21911219011541
OTT
01111439030437
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
WSH 39-14-8 · OTT 30-25-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
Capitals beat the Senators
Chances were even (4.4 to 4.9 expected goals); the Capitals won it in a shootout. The Capitals owned the 1st period, 2.0 to 0.8 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.4 expected goals to 4.9, on 41 and 37 shots on goal.
WSH 4.4 xG · 41 shots
OTT 4.9 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
2.0 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 1.2
3rd
1.1 · 2.1
OT
0.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McMichael · 1st 01:41 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
2
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 03:34 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Tom Wilson · 2nd 06:53 · 3–0 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Shane Pinto · 2nd 12:18 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 01:05 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Shane Pinto · 3rd 08:01 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Martin Fehérváry · 3rd 12:43 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 18:52 · 4–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 45.
WSH 45%OTT 55%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McMichael · 1st 01:41 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (54%)
2
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 03:34 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Tom Wilson · 2nd 06:53 · PP · 3–0
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Shane Pinto · 2nd 12:18 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Claude Giroux · 3rd 01:05 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Shane Pinto · 3rd 08:01 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Martin Fehérváry · 3rd 12:43 · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 18:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Capitals
Goaltending
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 4.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
37/41 saves · 4 GA · 4.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
