Washington Capitals
WSH · 45-15-8
4–1
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 32-30-6
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
1140537426
DET
1701106124
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
WSH 45-15-8 · DET 32-30-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
Capitals beat the Red Wings
The Capitals earned it: 3.7 expected goals to 3.0, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Logan Thompson stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 26 and 24 shots on goal.
WSH 3.7 xG · 26 shots
DET 3.0 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.5
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
1.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Strome · 1st 06:36 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Larkin · 1st 12:28 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
3
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 08:16 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tom Wilson · 3rd 14:21 · 3–1 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Connor McMichael · 3rd 15:27 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (39%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 59.
WSH 59%DET 41%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Strome · 1st 06:36 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Larkin · 1st 12:28 · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
3
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 08:16 · GWG · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tom Wilson · 3rd 14:21 · 3–1
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
5
Connor McMichael · 3rd 15:27 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (39%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/24 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.