Washington Capitals
WSH · 50-19-9
5–4
Final / SOW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 46-27-5
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
WSH
1531605021528
CAR
2150929010434
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
WSH 50-19-9 · CAR 46-27-5 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Capitals beat the Hurricanes
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Capitals erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Strome's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. The Capitals owned the 2nd period, 2.5 to 1.0 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 4.0 expected goals to 3.9, on 28 and 34 shots on goal.
WSH 4.0 xG · 28 shots
CAR 3.9 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 1.8
2nd · the swing
2.5 · 1.0
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
OT
0.3 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan Stankoven · 1st 05:42 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Jackson Blake · 1st 07:14 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 18:06 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Dylan Strome · 2nd 10:50 · 2–2 · snap shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Nic Dowd · 2nd 16:51 · 3–2 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Tom Wilson · 2nd 17:29 · 4–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
7
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 04:42 · 4–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 18:15 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 51.
WSH 51%CAR 49%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan Stankoven · 1st 05:42 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Jackson Blake · 1st 07:14 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 18:06 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Dylan Strome · 2nd 10:50 · PP · 2–2
Snap shot, a great chance (31%)
5
Nic Dowd · 2nd 16:51 · 3–2
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Tom Wilson · 2nd 17:29 · 4–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
7
Jordan Martinook · 3rd 04:42 · 4–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Seth Jarvis · 3rd 18:15 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Capitals
Goaltending
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 4.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.