Washington Capitals
WSH · 50-21-9
1–4
FinalL
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 38-33-9
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
17013011131
CBJ
1101726423
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
WSH 50-21-9 · CBJ 38-33-9 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Capitals fell to the Blue Jackets
The Capitals created the better chances (3.3 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Jet Greaves stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.1, on 31 and 23 shots on goal.
WSH 3.3 xG · 31 shots
CBJ 2.1 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
3rd
0.5 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 01:10 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Zach Werenski · 1st 14:36 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Adam Fantilli · 2nd 04:39 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 01:57 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Dmitri Voronkov · 3rd 15:48 · 1–4 · snap shot, a great chance (40%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 70.
WSH 70%CBJ 30%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 01:10 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Zach Werenski · 1st 14:36 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Adam Fantilli · 2nd 04:39 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 01:57 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Dmitri Voronkov · 3rd 15:48 · 1–4
Snap shot, a great chance (40%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.