Washington Capitals
WSH · 1-0
3–2
Final / OTW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WSH
114190712332
MTL
0130821400235
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Capitals lead the series 1–0
WSH 1-0 · MTL 0-1 · Game 1 — the Capitals lead the series 1–0
Capitals beat the Canadiens
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.2 expected goals); the Capitals won it in overtime on Ovechkin's goal. Logan Thompson stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.2, on 32 and 35 shots on goal.
WSH 3.4 xG · 32 shots
MTL 3.2 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.5 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.6
OT
0.3 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 18:34 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 12:09 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Cole Caufield · 3rd 10:32 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 15:45 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · OT 02:26 · 3–2 · bat shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 53.
WSH 53%MTL 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 18:34 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Beauvillier · 2nd 12:09 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
3
Cole Caufield · 3rd 10:32 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Nick Suzuki · 3rd 15:45 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · OT 02:26 · GWG · 3–2
Bat shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.