WSH
4–1
MTL
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 4-1
4–1
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 1-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
2111918428
MTL
0906114129
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Capitals lead the series 4–1
WSH 4-1 · MTL 1-4 · Game 5 — the Capitals lead the series 4–1
Capitals beat the Canadiens
The Capitals were outchanced (4.0 to 2.8 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Logan Thompson stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.8, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
WSH 2.8 xG · 28 shots
MTL 4.0 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.1
2nd
1.5 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 09:12 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 11:15 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Tom Wilson · 2nd 16:59 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Emil Heineman · 3rd 02:40 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 19:34 · 4–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 33.
WSH 33%MTL 67%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Canadiens shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 09:12 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 11:15 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Tom Wilson · 2nd 16:59 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Emil Heineman · 3rd 02:40 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brandon Duhaime · 3rd 19:34 · EN · 4–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 4.0 xGA
Stopped 3.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
