Washington Capitals
WSH · 4-2
1–2
Final / OTL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 5-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WSH
05160300114
CAR
0120811112233
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Capitals trail the series 0–1
WSH 4-2 · CAR 5-1 · Game 1 — the Capitals trail the series 0–1
Capitals fell to the Hurricanes
The Capitals were outchanced (3.4 to 1.5 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Slavin's goal. Logan Thompson stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.5, on 33 and 14 shots on goal.
WSH 1.5 xG · 14 shots
CAR 3.4 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 1.4
3rd
0.1 · 0.9
OT
0.1 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 03:53 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 09:42 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Jaccob Slavin · OT 03:06 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 19.
WSH 19%CAR 81%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 03:53 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 09:42 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Jaccob Slavin · OT 03:06 · GWG · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
13/14 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.