WSH
3–1
CAR
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 5-2
3–1
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 5-2
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
051927321
CAR
0704117128
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
WSH 5-2 · CAR 5-2 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Capitals beat the Hurricanes
The Capitals were outchanced (3.2 to 2.3 expected goals) but won 3–1 anyway. Logan Thompson stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.3, on 28 and 21 shots on goal.
WSH 2.3 xG · 21 shots
CAR 3.2 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 0.7
2nd
1.5 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McMichael · 2nd 02:16 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
John Carlson · 3rd 01:54 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 09:26 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Tom Wilson · 3rd 19:00 · 3–1 · slap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 35.
WSH 35%CAR 65%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McMichael · 2nd 02:16 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
John Carlson · 3rd 01:54 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 09:26 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Tom Wilson · 3rd 19:00 · EN · 3–1
Slap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
