WSH
7–4
EDM
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 10-8-2
7–4
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 9-9-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
3111536722
EDM
2905216430
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 10-8-2 · EDM 9-9-4 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Oilers
The Capitals were outchanced (3.9 to 2.8 expected goals) but won 7–4 anyway. Stuart Skinner allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.8, on 30 and 22 shots on goal.
WSH 2.8 xG · 22 shots
EDM 3.9 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aliaksei Protas · 1st 02:17 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 06:04 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Darnell Nurse · 1st 07:05 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Leonard · 1st 10:34 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Darnell Nurse · 1st 12:17 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Leonard · 2nd 11:49 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
7
· 3rd 02:41 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
8
Anthony Beauvillier · 3rd 06:37 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 07:47 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
10
Tom Wilson · 3rd 18:59 · 6–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
11
Tom Wilson · 3rd 19:27 · 7–4 · snap shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 34.
WSH 34%EDM 66%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 4 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aliaksei Protas · 1st 02:17 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (36%)
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 06:04 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Darnell Nurse · 1st 07:05 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Leonard · 1st 10:34 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Darnell Nurse · 1st 12:17 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
6
Ryan Leonard · 2nd 11:49 · 4–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
7
· 3rd 02:41 · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
8
Anthony Beauvillier · 3rd 06:37 · GWG · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 07:47 · PP · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
10
Tom Wilson · 3rd 18:59 · EN · 6–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
11
Tom Wilson · 3rd 19:27 · EN · 7–4
Snap shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:19
Tom Wilson· High-sticking
Tom Wilson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:11
Justin Sourdif· Holding
Justin Sourdif· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:53
John Carlson· Hooking
John Carlson· Hooking
Draisaitl scored on this power play
Minor
9
Connor McDavid, Evan Bouchard · Power play (Carlson, hooking) · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:39
Mattias Ekholm· Slashing
Mattias Ekholm· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
15/20 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Capitals went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Oilers power plays.