Washington Capitals
WSH · 11-9-2
3–5
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 12-7-2
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
19111112332
TBL
460416516
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
WSH 11-9-2 · TBL 12-7-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals trail the season series 1–2
Capitals fell to the Lightning
The Capitals created the better chances (4.1 to 2.2 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Logan Thompson allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.2, on 32 and 16 shots on goal.
WSH 4.1 xG · 32 shots
TBL 2.2 xG · 16 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
3rd
1.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Justin Sourdif · 1st 01:06 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 1st 02:53 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 1st 05:21 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 1st 11:36 · 1–3 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:19 · 1–4 · snap shot, a great chance (36%)
6
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 05:26 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Ethen Frank · 3rd 05:24 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 15:51 · 3–5 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 77.
WSH 77%TBL 23%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 12 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Justin Sourdif · 1st 01:06 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
2
Brandon Hagel · 1st 02:53 · SH · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 1st 05:21 · PP · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Brandon Hagel · 1st 11:36 · 1–3
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:19 · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot, a great chance (36%)
6
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 05:26 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Ethen Frank · 3rd 05:24 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Anthony Cirelli · 3rd 15:51 · 3–5
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:39
J.J. Moser· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:25
Ethen Frank· High-sticking
Bjorkstrand scored on this power play
Minor
3
Nikita Kucherov, Darren Raddysh · Power play (Frank, high-sticking) · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:06
Nikita Kucherov· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:12
Brandon Hagel· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:25
Curtis Douglas· Instigator
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
18:25
Curtis Douglas· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
18:25
Tom Wilson· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
18:25
Curtis Douglas· Instigator
Misconduct
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:58
Rasmus Sandin· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:30
Anthony Cirelli· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:17
Emil Lilleberg· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:25
Jakob Chychrun· Interference
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
9/10 saves · 1 GA · 1.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
2/6 saves · 4 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Capitals went 0-for-5 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Lightning power plays.