Washington Capitals
WSH · 13-9-2
4–3
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 12-10-0
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
21211518435
WPG
161718321
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
WSH 13-9-2 · WPG 12-10-0 · First meeting this season — the Capitals lead the season series 1–0
Capitals beat the Jets
The Capitals were outchanced (3.4 to 2.6 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Eric Comrie allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 21 and 35 shots on goal.
WSH 2.6 xG · 35 shots
WPG 3.4 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.8
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.8 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Carlson · 1st 06:38 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 14:21 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 19:38 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 01:24 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 05:22 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Connor McMichael · 3rd 05:25 · 4–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 15:11 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (40%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 38.
WSH 38%WPG 62%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Carlson · 1st 06:38 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 14:21 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 19:38 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Gabriel Vilardi · 2nd 01:24 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 05:22 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Connor McMichael · 3rd 05:25 · GWG · 4–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 15:11 · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (40%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:50
Dylan Strome· Roughing
Vilardi scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:50
Vladislav Namestnikov· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:50
Dylan Strome· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
4
Josh Morrissey, Kyle Connor · Power play (Strome, roughing) · tip in shot, a great chance (25%)
2–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Morgan Barron· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:35
Brandon Duhaime· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:03
Jonathan Toews· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Capitals went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Jets power play.