Washington Capitals
WSH · 19-13-5
3–7
FinalL
New York Rangers
NYR · 19-16-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
06315011332
NYR
1515511721
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WSH 19-13-5 · NYR 19-16-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Capitals fell to the Rangers
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.7 expected goals); the Capitals lost 3–7. Logan Thompson allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 21 shots on goal.
WSH 2.9 xG · 32 shots
NYR 2.7 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.5
3rd
0.9 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Taylor Raddysh · 1st 14:57 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
John Carlson · 2nd 00:23 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 08:40 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Will Cuylle · 2nd 11:14 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 12:11 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Taylor Raddysh · 3rd 08:10 · 3–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Alexis Lafrenière · 3rd 09:18 · 3–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 13:43 · 3–5 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 17:44 · 3–6 · snap shot, into an empty net
10
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 18:09 · 3–7 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 54.
WSH 54%NYR 46%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Taylor Raddysh · 1st 14:57 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
John Carlson · 2nd 00:23 · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Dylan Strome · 2nd 08:40 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Will Cuylle · 2nd 11:14 · PP · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 12:11 · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Taylor Raddysh · 3rd 08:10 · 3–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Alexis Lafrenière · 3rd 09:18 · GWG · 3–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
8
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 13:43 · 3–5
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Artemi Panarin · 3rd 17:44 · EN · 3–6
Snap shot, into an empty net
10
Vincent Trocheck · 3rd 18:09 · 3–7
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
07:49
Ryan Leonard· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:57
Matthew Robertson· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:29
Carson Soucy· Holding
Strome scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:54
Connor McMichael· Tripping
Cuylle scored on this power play
Minor
4
Mika Zibanejad, Vincent Trocheck · Power play (McMichael, tripping) · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
2–2
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:23
Alex Ovechkin· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
8
Jonny Brodzinski, Gabe Perreault · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–5
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:31
Noah Laba· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
14/20 saves · 6 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Capitals went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Rangers power plays.