Washington Capitals
WSH · 22-15-6
7–4
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 21-18-3
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
21131325729
ANA
110218117445
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WSH 22-15-6 · ANA 21-18-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Capitals beat the Ducks
Chances were even (3.1 to 3.0 expected goals); the Capitals won 7–4. Petr Mrazek allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.0, on 29 and 45 shots on goal.
WSH 3.1 xG · 29 shots
ANA 3.0 xG · 45 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.7
2nd
1.6 · 1.2
3rd
0.4 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Chris Kreider · 1st 06:33 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Justin Sourdif · 1st 15:56 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Justin Sourdif · 1st 18:58 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Leonard · 2nd 05:54 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Justin Sourdif · 2nd 07:30 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 08:52 · 5–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Alex Killorn · 2nd 12:56 · 5–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Jacob Trouba · 2nd 14:12 · 5–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Beckett Sennecke · 3rd 09:22 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
10
John Carlson · 3rd 18:46 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:18 · 7–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 52.
WSH 52%ANA 48%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Chris Kreider · 1st 06:33 · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Justin Sourdif · 1st 15:56 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Justin Sourdif · 1st 18:58 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Ryan Leonard · 2nd 05:54 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Justin Sourdif · 2nd 07:30 · 4–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Alex Ovechkin · 2nd 08:52 · GWG · 5–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Alex Killorn · 2nd 12:56 · 5–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Jacob Trouba · 2nd 14:12 · 5–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
9
Beckett Sennecke · 3rd 09:22 · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
10
John Carlson · 3rd 18:46 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
11
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 19:18 · EN · 7–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:40
Alex Ovechkin· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
06:38
Jacob Trouba· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
06:38
Brandon Duhaime· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:29
Alex Killorn· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Martin Fehérváry· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:17
Leo Carlsson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
05:21
Dylan McIlrath· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
05:21
Ross Johnston· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
11:51
John Carlson· Ps hooking on breakaway
Penalty shot
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
18:16
Olen Zellweger· Ps hooking on breakaway
Penalty shot
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:45
John Carlson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
41/45 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/24 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Capitals went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 3 Ducks power plays.