WSH
4–2
NSH
Final · W
Washington Capitals
WSH · 29-23-7
4–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 26-24-7
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
21211216430
NSH
01111018229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WSH 29-23-7 · NSH 26-24-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Capitals beat the Predators
The Capitals were outchanced (3.9 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Logan Thompson stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.5, on 29 and 30 shots on goal.
WSH 2.5 xG · 30 shots
NSH 3.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
0.8 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 04:15 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 12:48 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 08:42 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 17:40 · 3–1 · deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Michael McCarron · 3rd 01:17 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jakob Chychrun · 3rd 13:11 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 30.
WSH 30%NSH 70%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 10 penalties← Capitals shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 04:15 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 12:48 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 08:42 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jonathan Marchessault · 2nd 17:40 · 3–1
Deflected shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Michael McCarron · 3rd 01:17 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Jakob Chychrun · 3rd 13:11 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:54
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Tripping
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Tripping
Dubois scored on this power play
Minor
2
Dylan Strome, John Carlson · Power play (Wiesblatt, tripping) · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:35
Alex Ovechkin· Interference
Alex Ovechkin· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:47
Brady Skjei· Tripping
Brady Skjei· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:52
Ryan Leonard· Cross-checking
Ryan Leonard· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:39
Jonathan Marchessault· Slashing
Jonathan Marchessault· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3
Unassisted · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:15
Erik Haula· High-sticking
Erik Haula· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:19
Justin Sourdif· Hooking
Justin Sourdif· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
5
Cole Smith, Adam Wilsby · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:14
Brady Skjei· Tripping
Brady Skjei· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:03
Jonathan Marchessault· Slashing
Jonathan Marchessault· Slashing
Chychrun scored on this power play
Minor
6
Dylan Strome, Alex Ovechkin · Power play (Marchessault, slashing) · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:26
Rasmus Sandin· Slashing
Rasmus Sandin· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Capitals went 2-for-6 on the power play and killed all 4 Predators power plays.