Washington Capitals
WSH · 32-26-7
7–3
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 25-31-7
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
3808413729
CGY
0731405326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
WSH 32-26-7 · CGY 25-31-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–0
Capitals beat the Flames
The Capitals earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 3.3, and a 7–3 win to show for it. The Flames owned the 2nd period, 2.6 to 1.0 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Capitals created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 3.3, on 29 and 26 shots on goal.
WSH 3.9 xG · 29 shots
CGY 3.3 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 2.6
3rd
1.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Hendrix Lapierre · 1st 02:46 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Tom Wilson · 1st 09:13 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Connor McMichael · 1st 17:43 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Matvei Gridin · 2nd 16:08 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Blake Coleman · 2nd 17:39 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (59%)
6
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 18:55 · 3–3 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
7
Connor McMichael · 3rd 10:52 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Justin Sourdif · 3rd 11:15 · 5–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Ethen Frank · 3rd 17:14 · 6–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
10
Ryan Leonard · 3rd 19:44 · 7–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 59.
WSH 59%CGY 41%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 3 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Hendrix Lapierre · 1st 02:46 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
2
Tom Wilson · 1st 09:13 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Connor McMichael · 1st 17:43 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Matvei Gridin · 2nd 16:08 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Blake Coleman · 2nd 17:39 · SH · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (59%)
6
Yegor Sharangovich · 2nd 18:55 · SH · 3–3
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
7
Connor McMichael · 3rd 10:52 · PP · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Justin Sourdif · 3rd 11:15 · 5–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Ethen Frank · 3rd 17:14 · EN · 6–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
10
Ryan Leonard · 3rd 19:44 · 7–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:53
Zayne Parekh· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:32
Zayne Parekh· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:22
Kevin Bahl· High-sticking
McMichael scored on this power play
Minor
7
Unassisted · Power play (Bahl, high-sticking) · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4–3
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/28 saves · 6 GA · 5.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Capitals went 1-for-3 on the power play.