Washington Capitals
WSH · 38-28-9
6–4
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 37-25-12
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
252825618
PHI
0112528424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
WSH 38-28-9 · PHI 37-25-12 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Capitals beat the Flyers
The Capitals were outchanced (3.2 to 2.6 expected goals) but won 6–4 anyway. Dan Vladar allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.6, on 24 and 18 shots on goal.
WSH 2.6 xG · 18 shots
PHI 3.2 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 1.2
3rd
0.6 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 14:59 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 18:35 · 2–0 · snap shot, a great chance (41%)
3
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 00:39 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Carl Grundstrom · 2nd 04:36 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
5
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 06:58 · 3–2 · slap shot, a great chance (30%)
6
Ryan Leonard · 2nd 17:37 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 00:33 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
8
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 03:47 · 5–3 · snap shot, a great chance (39%)
9
Denver Barkey · 3rd 07:52 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Tom Wilson · 3rd 18:56 · 6–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 40.
WSH 40%PHI 60%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tom Wilson · 1st 14:59 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Alex Ovechkin · 1st 18:35 · 2–0
Snap shot, a great chance (41%)
3
Travis Sanheim · 2nd 00:39 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Carl Grundstrom · 2nd 04:36 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (41%)
5
Jakob Chychrun · 2nd 06:58 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a great chance (30%)
6
Ryan Leonard · 2nd 17:37 · PP · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Christian Dvorak · 3rd 00:33 · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
8
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 03:47 · GWG · 5–3
Snap shot, a great chance (39%)
9
Denver Barkey · 3rd 07:52 · 5–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
10
Tom Wilson · 3rd 18:56 · EN · 6–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:29
Porter Martone· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:07
Cole Hutson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:47
Trevor Zegras· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:47
Connor McMichael· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:29
Travis Konecny· Tripping
Chychrun scored on this power play
Minor
5
Ryan Leonard, Pierre-Luc Dubois · Power play (Konecny, tripping) · slap shot, a great chance (30%)
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:51
Cole Hutson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:59
Trevor Zegras· Tripping
Leonard scored on this power play
Minor
6
Pierre-Luc Dubois, Jakob Chychrun · Power play (Zegras, tripping) · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4–2
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:38
Justin Sourdif· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:38
Emil Andrae· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:13
Dylan Strome· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Justin Sourdif· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
12/17 saves · 5 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Capitals went 2-for-3 on the power play and killed all 4 Flyers power plays.