Washington Capitals
WSH · 39-29-9
6–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 46-23-8
1ST2ND3RDT
WSH
31117210628
BUF
213015011239
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
WSH 39-29-9 · BUF 46-23-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Capitals lead the season series 2–1
Capitals beat the Sabres
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.1 expected goals); the Capitals won 6–2. Alex Lyon allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.1, on 28 and 39 shots on goal.
WSH 3.5 xG · 28 shots
BUF 3.1 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
2.0 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.6
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 03:15 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Dylan Strome · 1st 03:35 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a great chance (32%)
3
Connor McMichael · 1st 05:52 · 3–0 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 06:30 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 12:15 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 06:06 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Leonard · 3rd 06:26 · 5–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Tom Wilson · 3rd 08:55 · 6–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Capitals win 57.
WSH 57%BUF 43%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 03:15 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Dylan Strome · 1st 03:35 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a great chance (32%)
3
Connor McMichael · 1st 05:52 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 06:30 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Beck Malenstyn · 1st 12:15 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
6
Aliaksei Protas · 2nd 06:06 · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Leonard · 3rd 06:26 · 5–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Tom Wilson · 3rd 08:55 · SH · 6–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:21
Zach Benson· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:08
Ryan Leonard· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:58
Dylan Strome· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:22
Connor McMichael· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:42
Mattias Samuelsson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:13
Trevor van Riemsdyk· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:32
Cole Hutson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
17:15
Martin Fehérváry· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
17:15
Zach Benson· Misconduct
Misconduct
Goaltending
37/39 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Capitals went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 5 Sabres power plays.