Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 39-32-11
4–3
FinalW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 27-49-6
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
1805314427
SEA
01031406330
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 3–0
WPG 39-32-11 · SEA 27-49-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 3–0
Jets beat the Kraken
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Jets erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Toninato's equalizer — and won 4–3. The Jets owned the 3rd period, 1.7 to 0.7 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.1, on 27 and 30 shots on goal.
WPG 3.1 xG · 27 shots
SEA 3.1 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
0.6 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Barron · 1st 03:47 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Alexander Wennberg · 2nd 05:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Daniel Sprong · 2nd 12:24 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Riley Sheahan · 2nd 13:19 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Blake Wheeler · 3rd 04:49 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Dominic Toninato · 3rd 07:16 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Kyle Connor · 3rd 09:05 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 51.
WPG 51%SEA 49%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Barron · 1st 03:47 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Alexander Wennberg · 2nd 05:55 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Daniel Sprong · 2nd 12:24 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Riley Sheahan · 2nd 13:19 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Blake Wheeler · 3rd 04:49 · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Dominic Toninato · 3rd 07:16 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Kyle Connor · 3rd 09:05 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.