Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 2-3-0
1–4
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 4-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
19010012131
TOR
1921415428
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets trail the season series 0–1
WPG 2-3-0 · TOR 4-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Jets trail the season series 0–1
Jets fell to the Maple Leafs
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.6 expected goals); the Jets lost 1–4. Ilya Samsonov stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 28 shots on goal.
WPG 3.0 xG · 31 shots
TOR 2.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.1
2nd
0.9 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 04:17 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
John Tavares · 1st 09:56 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
David Kampf · 2nd 14:34 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 18:56 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Michael Bunting · 3rd 17:23 · 1–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 56.
WPG 56%TOR 44%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 04:17 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
John Tavares · 1st 09:56 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
David Kampf · 2nd 14:34 · GWG · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
John Tavares · 2nd 18:56 · PP · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Michael Bunting · 3rd 17:23 · EN · 1–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.