Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 11-5-1
4–3
Final / OTW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 10-5-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
WPG
18181413423
CAR
070113801327
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 11-5-1 · CAR 10-5-4 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Hurricanes
The Jets earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.7, and they won it in overtime on Morrissey's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.7, on 23 and 27 shots on goal.
WPG 3.3 xG · 23 shots
CAR 2.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
1.5 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 1.0
OT
0.4 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 18:34 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 06:44 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
3
Josh Morrissey · 3rd 03:56 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 15:12 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 16:52 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Martin Necas · 3rd 19:21 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Josh Morrissey · OT 02:10 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 60.
WPG 60%CAR 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 1st 18:34 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 06:44 · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
3
Josh Morrissey · 3rd 03:56 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 15:12 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 16:52 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Martin Necas · 3rd 19:21 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Josh Morrissey · OT 02:10 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.