Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 16-7-1
5–2
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 12-10-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
2142819531
FLA
1702519241
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 16-7-1 · FLA 12-10-4 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Panthers
The Jets earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.9, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Spencer Knight allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Jets created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 31 and 41 shots on goal.
WPG 3.6 xG · 31 shots
FLA 2.9 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 1.7
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Scheifele · 1st 13:20 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 14:11 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Kyle Connor · 1st 14:28 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 01:43 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 13:23 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Zac Dalpe · 3rd 09:02 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Adam Lowry · 3rd 16:59 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 60.
WPG 60%FLA 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Scheifele · 1st 13:20 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Carter Verhaeghe · 1st 14:11 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Kyle Connor · 1st 14:28 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 01:43 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Mark Scheifele · 2nd 13:23 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
6
Zac Dalpe · 3rd 09:02 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Adam Lowry · 3rd 16:59 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
39/41 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
12/15 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.