Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 18-8-1
2–5
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 14-12-4
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
01009212231
WSH
09415112536
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets trail the season series 0–1
WPG 18-8-1 · WSH 14-12-4 · First meeting this season — the Jets trail the season series 0–1
Jets fell to the Capitals
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.0 expected goals); the Jets lost 2–5. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.0, on 31 and 36 shots on goal.
WPG 3.0 xG · 31 shots
WSH 3.0 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.7
2nd
1.2 · 1.7
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Trevor van Riemsdyk · 2nd 03:25 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 08:21 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Marcus Johansson · 2nd 09:55 · 0–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Lars Eller · 2nd 15:24 · 0–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Adam Lowry · 3rd 00:35 · 1–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
6
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 03:29 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 17:48 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 50.
WPG 50%WSH 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Trevor van Riemsdyk · 2nd 03:25 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Evgeny Kuznetsov · 2nd 08:21 · PP · 0–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Marcus Johansson · 2nd 09:55 · PS · GWG · 0–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Lars Eller · 2nd 15:24 · 0–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Adam Lowry · 3rd 00:35 · 1–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
6
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 03:29 · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 17:48 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/35 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.