WPG
5–1
OTT
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 21-10-1
5–1
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 14-16-2
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
3102905524
OTT
11607013136
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 21-10-1 · OTT 14-16-2 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Senators
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.8 expected goals); the Jets won 5–1. Cam Talbot allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.8, on 24 and 36 shots on goal.
WPG 2.6 xG · 24 shots
OTT 2.8 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.1
2nd
1.0 · 0.9
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 01:58 · 1–0 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Josh Morrissey · 1st 06:58 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 08:28 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Sam Gagner · 1st 19:47 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Kyle Connor · 2nd 01:02 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Connor · 2nd 14:23 · 5–1 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 46.
WPG 46%OTT 54%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kevin Stenlund · 1st 01:58 · 1–0
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
2
Josh Morrissey · 1st 06:58 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 08:28 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Sam Gagner · 1st 19:47 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Kyle Connor · 2nd 01:02 · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Connor · 2nd 14:23 · 5–1
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/24 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
