WPG
3–2
CGY
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 24-13-1
3–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 18-14-7
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
0101629325
CGY
014111110235
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
WPG 24-13-1 · CGY 18-14-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Jets beat the Flames
Chances were even (1.8 to 2.3 expected goals); the Jets won 3–2. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.8 expected goals to 2.3, on 25 and 35 shots on goal.
WPG 1.8 xG · 25 shots
CGY 2.3 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd
0.6 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brenden Dillon · 2nd 14:50 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 19:00 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Josh Morrissey · 3rd 10:22 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 11:58 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Sam Gagner · 3rd 14:20 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 41.
WPG 41%CGY 59%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brenden Dillon · 2nd 14:50 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Nikita Zadorov · 2nd 19:00 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Josh Morrissey · 3rd 10:22 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 11:58 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (16%)
5
Sam Gagner · 3rd 14:20 · GWG · 3–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
