Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 35-23-1
1–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 32-19-5
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
1601209127
COL
411115010536
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–1
WPG 35-23-1 · COL 32-19-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Jets lead the season series 2–1
Jets fell to the Avalanche
The Jets were outchanced (3.4 to 2.3 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Connor Hellebuyck allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.3, on 36 and 27 shots on goal.
WPG 2.3 xG · 27 shots
COL 3.4 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 1.4
3rd
0.6 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 00:19 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mason Appleton · 1st 03:12 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 04:32 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
J.T. Compher · 1st 07:34 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Bowen Byram · 1st 10:58 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Matt Nieto · 2nd 10:59 · 1–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 32.
WPG 32%COL 68%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 00:19 · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mason Appleton · 1st 03:12 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 04:32 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
J.T. Compher · 1st 07:34 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Bowen Byram · 1st 10:58 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Matt Nieto · 2nd 10:59 · 1–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 2.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
10/10 saves · 0 GA · 1.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.