WPG
2–4
VGK
Final · L
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 1-3
2–4
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 3-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
1808110226
VGK
11021119430
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the Jets trail the series 1–3
WPG 1-3 · VGK 3-1 · Game 4 — the Jets trail the series 1–3
Jets fell to the Golden Knights
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.1 expected goals); the Jets lost 2–4. The Jets scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.1, on 26 and 30 shots on goal.
WPG 2.1 xG · 26 shots
VGK 2.1 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.6
2nd
0.5 · 0.9
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Blake Wheeler · 1st 05:53 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Brett Howden · 1st 09:53 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
William Karlsson · 2nd 13:32 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 14:19 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 02:57 · 2–3 · slap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Brett Howden · 3rd 19:43 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 51.
WPG 51%VGK 49%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Blake Wheeler · 1st 05:53 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Brett Howden · 1st 09:53 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
William Karlsson · 2nd 13:32 · 1–2
Deflected shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Ivan Barbashev · 2nd 14:19 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 3rd 02:57 · PP · 2–3
Slap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Brett Howden · 3rd 19:43 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
