Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 1-1-0
6–4
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 0-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
19316210635
FLA
110110213433
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 1-1-0 · FLA 0-2-0 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Panthers
The Jets were outchanced (3.9 to 2.9 expected goals) but won 6–4 anyway. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.9, on 33 and 35 shots on goal.
WPG 2.9 xG · 35 shots
FLA 3.9 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd
1.6 · 1.6
3rd
1.0 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Scheifele · 1st 03:30 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 1st 17:03 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 00:25 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 00:35 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Morgan Barron · 2nd 08:20 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
6
Dylan DeMelo · 2nd 09:55 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Mason Appleton · 3rd 14:17 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
8
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 16:31 · 5–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
9
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 17:36 · 5–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
10
Kyle Connor · 3rd 18:50 · 6–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 36.
WPG 36%FLA 64%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Scheifele · 1st 03:30 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Sam Reinhart · 1st 17:03 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Evan Rodrigues · 2nd 00:25 · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 00:35 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Morgan Barron · 2nd 08:20 · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
6
Dylan DeMelo · 2nd 09:55 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Mason Appleton · 3rd 14:17 · SH · GWG · 5–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
8
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 16:31 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (27%)
9
Evan Rodrigues · 3rd 17:36 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
10
Kyle Connor · 3rd 18:50 · EN · 6–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/34 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.