WPG
4–2
STL
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 3-3-0
4–2
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 2-2-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
0821428430
STL
0611014220
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 3-3-0 · STL 2-2-1 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Blues
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.3 expected goals); the Jets won 4–2. Jordan Binnington allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 30 and 20 shots on goal.
WPG 2.0 xG · 30 shots
STL 2.3 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 1.0
3rd
0.4 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Gustafsson · 2nd 02:55 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Mason Appleton · 2nd 03:13 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 18:25 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Connor · 3rd 04:10 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 16:37 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Morgan Barron · 3rd 18:50 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 44.
WPG 44%STL 56%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Gustafsson · 2nd 02:55 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Mason Appleton · 2nd 03:13 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Buchnevich · 2nd 18:25 · PP · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Kyle Connor · 3rd 04:10 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 16:37 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Morgan Barron · 3rd 18:50 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
