WPG
6–3
NSH
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 7-4-2
6–3
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 5-8-0
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
11431429637
NSH
171818323
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 7-4-2 · NSH 5-8-0 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Predators
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.9 expected goals); the Jets won 6–3. Juuse Saros allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 37 and 23 shots on goal.
WPG 2.6 xG · 37 shots
NSH 2.9 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason Appleton · 1st 04:04 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 06:43 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Kyle Connor · 2nd 01:05 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 03:48 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 10:33 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 12:05 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Brenden Dillon · 3rd 12:51 · 5–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 16:16 · 5–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Kyle Connor · 3rd 16:44 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 46.
WPG 46%NSH 54%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason Appleton · 1st 04:04 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Filip Forsberg · 1st 06:43 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Kyle Connor · 2nd 01:05 · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Kyle Connor · 2nd 03:48 · 3–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 10:33 · PP · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
6
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 12:05 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Brenden Dillon · 3rd 12:51 · 5–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Philip Tomasino · 3rd 16:16 · 5–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Kyle Connor · 3rd 16:44 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
