WPG
6–3
NJD
Final · W
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 8-5-2
6–3
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 7-6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
09312310631
NJD
07210117334
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 8-5-2 · NJD 7-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Devils
The Jets were outchanced (3.4 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Akira Schmid allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Devils created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.5, on 34 and 31 shots on goal.
WPG 2.5 xG · 31 shots
NJD 3.4 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.3
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Connor · 2nd 08:07 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 13:54 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Timo Meier · 2nd 14:54 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
John Marino · 2nd 16:06 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 18:10 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Connor · 3rd 09:54 · 4–2 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Morgan Barron · 3rd 11:58 · 5–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 14:17 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 18:30 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 36.
WPG 36%NJD 64%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Jets shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Connor · 2nd 08:07 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Cole Perfetti · 2nd 13:54 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Timo Meier · 2nd 14:54 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
John Marino · 2nd 16:06 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 18:10 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Connor · 3rd 09:54 · PP · GWG · 4–2
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Morgan Barron · 3rd 11:58 · 5–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Dawson Mercer · 3rd 14:17 · PP · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
9
Nikolaj Ehlers · 3rd 18:30 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/30 saves · 5 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
