Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 13-8-2
3–1
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 7-15-0
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
16111111328
CHI
1506010121
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 13-8-2 · CHI 7-15-0 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Blackhawks
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.0 expected goals); the Jets won 3–1. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.0, on 28 and 21 shots on goal.
WPG 2.5 xG · 28 shots
CHI 2.0 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.6
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor Bedard · 1st 04:39 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Mark Scheifele · 1st 10:43 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Morgan Barron · 2nd 06:23 · 2–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
4
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 10:06 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 59.
WPG 59%CHI 41%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor Bedard · 1st 04:39 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Mark Scheifele · 1st 10:43 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Morgan Barron · 2nd 06:23 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
4
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 10:06 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.