Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 14-8-2
2–1
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 14-9-1
1ST2ND3RDT
WPG
1311306222
CAR
015114014143
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
WPG 14-8-2 · CAR 14-9-1 · First meeting this season — the Jets lead the season series 1–0
Jets beat the Hurricanes
The Jets were outchanced (3.3 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Laurent Brossoit stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.9, on 43 and 22 shots on goal.
WPG 1.9 xG · 22 shots
CAR 3.3 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 1.3
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 16:58 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 11:39 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 19:09 · 2–1 · wrap around shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Jets win 28.
WPG 28%CAR 72%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 16:58 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 11:39 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 19:09 · 2–1
Wrap around shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
42/43 saves · 1 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 1.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.